A digital illustration of a globe with interconnected nodes, representing global communication or data networks, on a gold and dark background.

About Paul Verhagen


My work sits at the intersection of technology, geopolitics, and political economy. Across my research, teaching, and professional work, I focus on how emerging technologies reshape economic and political power.

background

Civic AI Lab, University of Amsterdam

Strategic Liaison & AI Strategist · 2023–present

I help shape the strategic direction of the Civic AI Lab and work with public-sector and academic partners on the societal and policy implications of artificial intelligence and algorithmic systems.

The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies

Senior Fellow · 2021–present

I research the geopolitics of advanced technologies, with a particular focus on artificial intelligence, semiconductor export controls, ASML, quantum technologies, and strategic competition between the United States and China.

I joined HCSS in 2017 and previously worked there in a series of data-analysis and research roles.

Amsterdam University College

Junior Lecturer · 2023–present

I design and teach interdisciplinary courses on technological innovation, societal change, and social-science research. My courses include Data Futures Lab and Classical and Modern Sociological Thought.

Education

Msc in Artificial Intelligence, University of Amsterdam

Msc Environment and Resource management, Vrije Universiteit van Amsterdam

Bsc Theoretical Physics, Minor Philosophy, Amsterdam University College

Research & Publications

Selected research publications

“Modeling Strategic Risk in School Choice: A Case for Transparent Design”
Tasnim et al. · AAAI · 2025

“Replication Study of DECAF: Generating Fair Synthetic Data Using Causally-Aware Generative Networks”
Wang et al. · ML Reproducibility Challenge · 2022

“Pandemic Mitigation in the Digital Age: Digital Epidemiological Measures to Combat the Coronavirus Pandemic”
Klimburg, Faesen & Verhagen · Austrian Institute for European Security Policy

Books

The Techtonic Shift: Power, Tech, and the End of Nations
Paul Verhagen · Das Mag · 2026

Het Amerikaanse Presidentschap: Het machtigste ambt ter wereld
Frans Verhagen & Paul Verhagen · Uitgeverij Omniboek · 2020